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Comparison · dataset August 2026

Electrician vs Welder: which is more exposed to AI?

Welder carries 5 points more AI exposure than Electrician.

Welder sits at 26% time-weighted AI exposure against 21% for Electrician, a 5-point gap driven by the 9% of welder work time that current models can already substitute outright. Electrician holds a larger human-critical core — 88% of the role's time sits in work like "install wiring and fixtures" that models score poorly on. Both roles sit inside Trades & Construction, so the exposure difference reflects task design rather than a change of field.

5PP GAP

Seven dimensions, side by side.

METRICELECTRICIANWELDERDELTA
AI exposure21%26%5pp gap
Resilience score92/10068/10024pt gap
Substitutable work time0%9%Fully automatable today
Human-critical work time88%60%Models score poorly here
Median salary$61k$48k$13k apart
10-year growth11%2%Electrician
US workforce762k430kBLS OEWS
Task level

What actually creates the gap.

Welders spend 9% of their time-weighted week on tasks a current model can produce end-to-end, against 0% for Electricians. The single largest contributor is "document weld inspections", graded at 74% and worth 4% of the role's time. That one task accounts for more of the gap than any difference in seniority, tooling, or industry.

Electrician
MOST EXPOSED TASKS
    HUMAN-CRITICAL CORE
    • Install wiring and fixtures8% · 28% time
    • Safety compliance and sign-off11% · 10% time
    • Inspect and test installations14% · 18% time
    Welder
    MOST EXPOSED TASKS
    • Document weld inspections74% · 4% time
    • Generate cut lists and consumable orders70% · 3% time
    • Log equipment maintenance62% · 2% time
    HUMAN-CRITICAL CORE
    • Perform on-site structural repairs8% · 8% time
    • Manage heat, distortion, and safety10% · 4% time
    • Weld manually in position12% · 34% time
    What transfers

    Both roles lean on manual, procedural — that is the part of your experience that travels intact. The real divide is social: Electricians score 44 there against 20 for Welders, a 24-point spread. That is the gap you would actually have to close.

    DIMENSIONELECTRICIANWELDER
    Social4420
    Judgement7248
    Cognitive4826
    Switching between them
    LowDIFFICULTY

    Electrician appears in our dataset as a mapped adjacent career for Welders: the move lowers exposure by 5 points, landing at 21%. Switch difficulty reads low — capability profiles are 18 points apart on average and both sit in the same family.

    Score your own exposure in 8 questions →

    Common questions.

    Is Electrician or Welder more at risk from AI?

    Welder. It scores 26% time-weighted AI exposure against 21% for Electrician — a 5-point gap. 9% of welder work time is already fully substitutable by current models, versus 0% for Electricians.

    Which pays more, Electrician or Welder?

    Electrician, by roughly $13k at the median ($61k versus $48k). Note that the higher-paying role here is also the less AI-exposed one, which matters if you are weighing pay against durability.

    Can a electrician switch to being a welder?

    Electrician appears in our dataset as a mapped adjacent career for Welders: the move lowers exposure by 5 points, landing at 21%. Switch difficulty reads low — capability profiles are 18 points apart on average and both sit in the same family.

    Which role is growing faster, Electrician or Welder?

    Electrician, at 11% projected ten-year growth versus 2% — a 9-point difference. Growth and AI exposure are separate signals: a role can grow in headcount while the content of the work is substantially rewritten.

    Career families
    Trades & Construction
    Methodology
    Scores are time-weighted across each role's canonical O*NET tasks, graded against current frontier-model capability. How we score.