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Comparison · dataset August 2026

Police Officer vs Security Guard: which is more exposed to AI?

Security Guard carries 10 points more AI exposure than Police Officer.

Security Guard sits at 35% time-weighted AI exposure against 25% for Police Officer, a 10-point gap driven by the 30% of security guard work time that current models can already substitute outright. Police Officer holds a larger human-critical core — 70% of the role's time sits in work like "make lawful arrest and force decisions" that models score poorly on. Both roles sit inside Protective Services, so the exposure difference reflects task design rather than a change of field.

10PP GAP

Seven dimensions, side by side.

METRICPOLICE OFFICERSECURITY GUARDDELTA
AI exposure25%35%10pp gap
Resilience score88/10056/10032pt gap
Substitutable work time0%30%Fully automatable today
Human-critical work time70%46%Models score poorly here
Median salary$74k$37k$37k apart
10-year growth3%2%Police Officer
US workforce808k1.1MBLS OEWS
Task level

What actually creates the gap.

Security Guards spend 30% of their time-weighted week on tasks a current model can produce end-to-end, against 0% for Police Officers. The single largest contributor is "write incident reports", graded at 82% and worth 8% of the role's time. That one task accounts for more of the gap than any difference in seniority, tooling, or industry.

Police Officer
MOST EXPOSED TASKS
    HUMAN-CRITICAL CORE
    • Make lawful arrest and force decisions4% · 12% time
    • De-escalate volatile situations6% · 16% time
    • Patrol and respond to calls10% · 26% time
    Security Guard
    MOST EXPOSED TASKS
    • Write incident reports82% · 8% time
    • Log visitor entries78% · 6% time
    • Draft shift handoffs76% · 4% time
    • Monitor camera feeds74% · 12% time
    HUMAN-CRITICAL CORE
    • De-escalate confrontations8% · 8% time
    • Respond to incidents on site10% · 12% time
    • Support emergency evacuations12% · 4% time
    What transfers

    Both roles lean on manual, procedural, social — that is the part of your experience that travels intact. The real divide is judgement: Police Officers score 94 there against 52 for Security Guards, a 42-point spread. That is the gap you would actually have to close.

    DIMENSIONPOLICE OFFICERSECURITY GUARD
    Judgement9452
    Cognitive6224
    Social8856
    Switching between them
    ModerateDIFFICULTY

    Police Officer appears in our dataset as a mapped adjacent career for Security Guards: the move lowers exposure by 10 points, landing at 25%. Switch difficulty reads moderate — capability profiles are 29 points apart on average and both sit in the same family.

    Score your own exposure in 8 questions →

    Common questions.

    Is Police Officer or Security Guard more at risk from AI?

    Security Guard. It scores 35% time-weighted AI exposure against 25% for Police Officer — a 10-point gap. 30% of security guard work time is already fully substitutable by current models, versus 0% for Police Officers.

    Which pays more, Police Officer or Security Guard?

    Police Officer, by roughly $37k at the median ($74k versus $37k). Note that the higher-paying role here is also the less AI-exposed one, which matters if you are weighing pay against durability.

    Can a police officer switch to being a security guard?

    Police Officer appears in our dataset as a mapped adjacent career for Security Guards: the move lowers exposure by 10 points, landing at 25%. Switch difficulty reads moderate — capability profiles are 29 points apart on average and both sit in the same family.

    Which role is growing faster, Police Officer or Security Guard?

    Police Officer, at 3% projected ten-year growth versus 2% — a 1-point difference. Growth and AI exposure are separate signals: a role can grow in headcount while the content of the work is substantially rewritten.

    Career families
    Protective Services
    Methodology
    Scores are time-weighted across each role's canonical O*NET tasks, graded against current frontier-model capability. How we score.