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Comparison · dataset August 2026

Occupational Therapist vs Physical Therapist: which is more exposed to AI?

Effectively tied: 2 points separate Occupational Therapists from Physical Therapists.

Occupational Therapist scores 26% time-weighted AI exposure and Physical Therapist scores 24% — close enough that the headline number tells you almost nothing. The difference lives underneath it: Occupational Therapists lose the most ground on "write treatment plans and progress notes" (68%), while for Physical Therapists it is "document treatment plans and progress notes" (68%). Both roles sit inside Healthcare, so the exposure difference reflects task design rather than a change of field.

2PP GAP

Seven dimensions, side by side.

METRICOCCUPATIONAL THERAPISTPHYSICAL THERAPISTDELTA
AI exposure26%24%2pp gap
Resilience score89/10090/1001pt gap
Substitutable work time0%0%Fully automatable today
Human-critical work time74%78%Models score poorly here
Median salary$92k$96k$4k apart
10-year growth12%17%Physical Therapist
US workforce148k242kBLS OEWS
Task level

What actually creates the gap.

Both roles hand a similar slice of the week to substitutable work — 0% for Occupational Therapists, 0% for Physical Therapists — but it is different work. Occupational Therapist exposure concentrates in "write treatment plans and progress notes"; Physical Therapist exposure concentrates in "document treatment plans and progress notes". Two roles can share a score and face completely different disruption timelines.

Occupational Therapist
MOST EXPOSED TASKS
    HUMAN-CRITICAL CORE
    • Deliver hands-on therapy interventions6% · 26% time
    • Adapt home and work environments12% · 14% time
    • Assess patient functional abilities14% · 24% time
    Physical Therapist
    MOST EXPOSED TASKS
      HUMAN-CRITICAL CORE
      • Perform manual therapy and manipulation4% · 28% time
      • Patient motivation and coaching8% · 12% time
      • Exercise instruction and correction14% · 16% time
      What transfers

      Both roles lean on manual, social, judgement — that is the part of your experience that travels intact. The real divide is creative: Occupational Therapists score 62 there against 44 for Physical Therapists, an 18-point spread. That is the gap you would actually have to close.

      DIMENSIONOCCUPATIONAL THERAPISTPHYSICAL THERAPIST
      Creative6244
      Switching between them
      LowDIFFICULTY

      Physical Therapist appears in our dataset as a mapped adjacent career for Occupational Therapists: the move lowers exposure by 2 points, landing at 24%. Switch difficulty reads low — capability profiles are 9 points apart on average and both sit in the same family.

      Score your own exposure in 8 questions →

      Common questions.

      Is Occupational Therapist or Physical Therapist more at risk from AI?

      Occupational Therapist. It scores 26% time-weighted AI exposure against 24% for Physical Therapist — a 2-point gap. 0% of occupational therapist work time is already fully substitutable by current models, versus 0% for Physical Therapists.

      Which pays more, Occupational Therapist or Physical Therapist?

      Physical Therapist, by roughly $4k at the median ($96k versus $92k). Note that the higher-paying role here is also the less AI-exposed one, which matters if you are weighing pay against durability.

      Can a occupational therapist switch to being a physical therapist?

      Physical Therapist appears in our dataset as a mapped adjacent career for Occupational Therapists: the move lowers exposure by 2 points, landing at 24%. Switch difficulty reads low — capability profiles are 9 points apart on average and both sit in the same family.

      Which role is growing faster, Occupational Therapist or Physical Therapist?

      Physical Therapist, at 17% projected ten-year growth versus 12% — a 5-point difference. Growth and AI exposure are separate signals: a role can grow in headcount while the content of the work is substantially rewritten.

      Career families
      Healthcare
      Methodology
      Scores are time-weighted across each role's canonical O*NET tasks, graded against current frontier-model capability. How we score.